Foundry Foundry

Wedding Budget — Bottom-Up Builder

Companion to dependency-chain. Since there's no target number yet, this builds one from the ground up: guest count × per-head costs + fixed costs + buffer. All figures are US national ballparks (2026) — region can swing them ±40%, so treat these as shapes, not quotes. Once you pick a region, we tighten every line.

How the model works

Wedding costs split into two blocks. The per-head block scales with every guest you invite — this is why guest count is the biggest lever. The fixed block costs roughly the same whether you have 100 or 200 guests. The rule-of-thumb output for a 100–200 person wedding lands at $250–450 per guest all-in, which is a useful sanity check on any total you build.

The per-head block

ItemLeanMidNotes
Catering (food + service)$70/head$120/headPlated vs buffet matters less than market; service staff included here
Bar$15/head$45/headBeer/wine only vs full open bar — the single easiest per-head lever
Rentals (tables, chairs, linens)$10/head$25/headOften $0 if venue includes them — check during venue tours
Cake / dessert$4/head$8/headSheet-cake-in-back trick works
Stationery + postage$6/head$12/headCounted per household in practice, ~per-head approximation
Per-head total~$105~$210

The fixed block

ItemLeanMidNotes
Venue$4,000$12,000Hugely variable; sometimes bundles catering/rentals — compare bundles, not line items
Photographer$2,500$5,000Books earliest; hard to redo — common "don't cheap out" pick
Videographer$0$3,500Genuinely optional; decide on purpose, not by default
Music (DJ → band)$1,500$6,000DJ $1.5–3k; live band $4–10k
Flowers$2,000$5,000Partially per-head (centerpieces) but behaves fixed-ish
Attire (both, incl. alterations)$1,500$4,000Alterations alone run $500–1,000 — budget them explicitly
Hair & makeup$400$1,000Plus trial
Coordinator (day-of → full planner)$1,500$4,500Full-service planners run ~10–15% of total instead
Officiant$300$800$0–small gift if a friend officiates
Transportation$0$1,500Depends on venue logistics
Rings (bands)$800$3,000Separate from engagement ring
Misc (favors, signage, license, tips)$1,000$2,500Vendor tips add up — plan them, don't discover them
Fixed total~$15,500~$48,800

Three scenarios

Per-head × guest count + fixed block + 12% buffer (costs creep; every wedding needs this line):

GuestsLean (~$105/head, lean fixed)Mid (~$210/head, mid fixed)
100~$29,000~$78,000
150~$35,000~$90,000
200~$41,000~$102,000

Two readings of this table. First: the lean column is a real, lovely wedding — lean ≠ sad, it means beer-and-wine bar, DJ not band, venue that includes rentals. Second: most couples land between the columns by going mid on 2–3 categories they care about and lean everywhere else — that's the priorities exercise below. A realistic blended number for 150 guests is often $45–65k.

The levers, biggest first

  1. Guest count — every name is ~$105–210. Cutting 30 guests funds a photographer upgrade entirely.
  2. Venue + catering model — all-inclusive venues vs raw-space-plus-outside-caterer can differ by $10k+ for the same guest count. Compare total bundles.
  3. Region — the same wedding can cost 2x between a major metro and a smaller market. Biggest open variable right now.
  4. Season + day of week — fall is peak; a Friday or Sunday in fall 2027 commonly saves 10–20% on the venue alone.
  5. Bar model — full open bar → beer/wine/one-signature-cocktail saves ~$20–30/head with near-zero guest-experience cost.
  6. Band → DJ, video → none, florals → greenery-heavy — the classic mid-tier trims, ~$2–5k each.

Own-land food strategy — trucks, stations, BYO bar (added 2026-06-10)

Why catering costs what it costs: in a $75 plated head, food is only $18–22 (caterers run 25–30% food cost). The rest is labor ($25–30 — a 150-guest plated dinner takes 14–18 staff working 10–12 hour days), equipment + transport ($8–10 — a pop-up restaurant kitchen built and torn down same-day), overhead/insurance ($8–10), and ~10–15% margin. You're buying a zero-retry single-seating restaurant on peak demand night, not food. Corporate drop-off catering is $20–30/head because it inverts every one of those factors — Cayce's professional read on this is a planning asset.

The own-land alternative (also works at any BYO-friendly venue):

ElementCostNotes
Food trucks (2–3 for 150 guests)$20–40/head, ~$1,500–2,500 min/truckOne truck per 50–75 guests keeps lines sane; trucks bring their own kitchen — solves raw-land catering
Grazing stations + truck anchor$30–50/head staffedPassed apps are labor-heavy; stations are the cheap half of "small bites." Plan real volume: 5 hrs + alcohol needs ~14–18 bites/person if no dinner anchor
BYO bar~$15–20/head all-inRetail alcohol + licensed bartenders (~$650 pour fee + $35/hr) + $50 LSOP if liquor; vs $25–35/head packaged

Net: $40–60/head food+bar vs $70–110 traditional venue catering → roughly $4,500–7,500 saved at 150 guests — clawing back about half of the $8–20k own-land infrastructure premium (see research-2026-06, Track 5). Guest-experience cost: near zero; arguably a vibe upgrade for a land wedding. Biggest execution risk is quantity/pacing, which is exactly Cayce's domain.

Priorities exercise (do this together, ~20 minutes)

Each of you independently ranks these top-3: food, bar, music/dancing, photography, video, flowers/decor, attire, venue wow-factor, guest convenience (travel/hotels). Compare lists. Anything in either top-3 gets mid-or-better budget; everything else defaults to lean. This single conversation resolves about 80% of future budget arguments in advance.

What this doc needs next

Update 2026-06-10: region answered (Charlotte NC, coastal still possible) and market research is in — see research-2026-06, Track 8. Charlotte runs ~25% cheaper per head than the national ballparks above. The re-cut planning numbers:

InputNational (above)Charlotte re-cut
Per-head — lean$105~$80 (buffet $40–65 + BYO bar ~$15–20 + rentals/cake/paper)
Per-head — mid$210~$145 (plated $60–85 + packaged bar + rentals/cake/paper)
Fixed block — lean$15,500~$14,000 (barn venue $3–6k often incl. coordinator)
Fixed block — mid$48,800~$36,000 (venue $8k, photo $5k, band-or-DJ, month-of coordinator $2.5k)

At 150 guests that's roughly $29k lean / $55–64k mid, blended landing zone $38–48k — consistent with sourced Charlotte market data ($34–57k for a full 150-guest wedding). Update the blue cells in guest-list.xlsx (Summary tab) to these values.

Still needed:

  1. Guest list draft count — turns the scenario table into one row, and the by-location split feeds the Charlotte-vs-coastal call.
  2. Priorities exercise results — turns lean/mid columns into a single budget per line.
  3. 2–3 real vendor quotes once the venue path picks (especially caterer — the largest single line).
  4. Output: a ceiling number you're both comfortable with → feeds venue/land shopping.

Review

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